Abrupt Climate Changes
• Real - they happened
• Large - 1/3 to 1/2 of glacial/interglacial changes
• Global (as far as we can tell)
• Rapid - in as little as 10 years (meaning big changes
every year)
• Repeated - not unusual with the long view
• In warm times, not just ice ages
• No satisfactory theory for them
• Our models (the ones we rely on to predict the future)
do not generate them
• Societies have often not survived them